Finding Your Running Confidence

In the fall of 2014, I was invited to compete in the “France against the world” challenge as part of the Festival Des Templiers in Millau, France. A pretty intimidating title, I know. The American team consisted of myself, Sage Canaday, Zach Miller, Chris Vargo, and Matt Flaherty. We would be racing in the 78-kilometer Grand Trail des Templiers, called Les Templiers for short. At that point, it was the biggest ultrarunning event I had ever run, and I was beyond nervous.

During the summer of 2014, I had been focusing on the Skyrunner World Series. The series included classics like the Zegama Marathon, Mont Blanc Marathon, Sierre-Zinal, and the series final, the Limone Extreme Skyrace. I made the tough decision to race Limone in Italy just two weeks before heading to France for Les Templiers. The two races couldn’t be more different. Limone is a steep, technical 14-mile course with 7,500 feet of climbing and a screaming descent. Les Templiers is a rolling loop through multiple gorges in south-central France with about 13,000 feet of climbing stretched out over 48 miles. I came to France knowing that I was fit from the skyrunning season, but I wasn’t totally confident in my ultramarathon legs.

I remember purposely sitting in the back of the press conferences because I felt like I didn’t belong amidst the seasoned ultra veterans like Sage, Zach, and the numerous international stars like Benoit Cori, Sylvian Court, Nicolas Martin, Miguel Heras, and Jonas Budd. Even at meals with the rest of the athletes, I felt out of place. I just didn’t have the confidence that the others seemed to exude.

The author running during the early miles of the 2014 Les Templiers. All photos iRunFar unless otherwise noted.

Confidence is a tricky thing. In sports, confidence can be the difference between success and failure. Confidence facilitates positive emotions, whereas a lack of confidence can spiral into a vicious cycle of negative self-fulling prophecies. I know I have experienced that vicious cycle when my expectation of failure has manifested itself into actual failure. A lack of confidence can lower self-image and increase expectations of a future failure, which then starts the cycle again.

Conversely, increased confidence can lead to what Weinberg and Gould describe as psychological momentum: “People who are confident in themselves and their abilities never give up. They view situations in which things are going against them as challenges and react with increased determination” (2). Psychological momentum not only helps us reshape the way we see challenges, it can even increase our physical effort and ability to preserve during a difficult task. Weinberg et al. found that, when ability levels were equal, the winners of competitions were the athletes who had the most self-confidence. This was especially true in competitions that involved athlete persistence, such as running a marathon or events lasting longer than three hours (1).

When these findings are applied to the ultramarathon world, the benefit of confidence is huge. If someone is confident in themselves, they will believe they can achieve their goals and will do everything in their power to succeed. Maintaining self-confidence can help a runner deal with unforeseen setbacks along the way, by viewing them as challenges rather than race-ending mistakes.

The inverted U of performance versus confidence. Image: Weinberg, R. S., & Gould, D. (2019). Foundations of sport and exercise psychology. Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics. (2)

So then, how can we develop our own optimal confidence levels? A few of the most effective ways to produce ideal levels of confidence are self-reflection, goal setting, and logistical preparation. These three aspects of planning are slightly different, but they work together to create realistic expectations that we can use to maintain confidence in the moment.

Obviously, not everyone should come into a race with the confidence that they will win or set a course record. That level of overconfidence would be detrimental to their goals and could decrease performance when the goals are not met. This is when self-reflection can help to shape our expectations. In my case, I knew that I was coming into the race without a recent ultramarathon experience, but I also knew that my climbing legs had never been better. By reflecting on my training prior to the race, I was able to take a realistic look at the course, leverage my strengths, and mitigate my weaknesses. The step of taking a close look inward before looking out can help us assess how we feel, how training has gone, and what we can expect from ourselves.

After thinking self-reflectively about my fitness, I knew that I couldn’t set a goal to be in the lead at the first aid station, but I could create goals that supported strong running on the steepest portions of the course. By manipulating the situation to experience a sense of accomplishment during the race, I could keep my confidence levels high without becoming overconfident. For more mid-race goal-setting ideas, see my previous article on rethinking the aid station.

The famous red flares of Les Templiers’s start line.

Another crucial aspect of goal setting and confidence comes from logistical preparation. In order to set goals that will elicit a feeling of accomplishment, we need to prepare for the situation. Someone who studies the race course in detail ahead of time–who knows where the difficult climbs and aid stations are, for example–will come into the race with more confidence because they know what’s coming. They will also be able to set specific goals for themselves along the way which will maintain their confidence levels as the race progresses.

Although I lacked confidence in the days leading up to Les Templiers, I did my best to study the course and come up with a detailed race plan. I created splits that I could shoot for along the way, giving myself the opportunity to feel a sense of accomplishment when I hit those splits, and planned out every calorie I would eat–down to the last gel. I still wasn’t sure how I would stack up to such tough competition, so I looked inward and created a plan that would allow me to run my own best race based on what I knew of the course.

When we lined up in the darkness of the start line, and the red flares glowed red along the road ahead, my mind was calm and I had a clear mission ahead of me: I was going to run my own race. The race started fast, but I knew that the second half of the race would be far steeper and more technical than the first half, so I waited and stuck to my plan. By the 35-kilometer mark, I was still outside of the top 20. As the race went on, I started to pass other runners who were struggling. Each runner I passed boosted my confidence and gave me hope that my plan was working. By 60k I had worked myself into the top five. My legs were beginning to fail, but I kept passing runners. I remember going by Sage Canaday on one of the final downhills. I was sad to see my teammate struggling, but that pass also gave me the extra confidence that I could keep pushing. I was suddenly in contention with guys who I previously thought were out of my league. That belief in myself gave me an extra gear. It was enough to push me past Miguel Heras and Zach Miller in the last few kilometers. I finished third and was followed closely by Sage and Zach. We won the team competition and defeated the French team on their home turf. That was one of my most memorable race finishes. My success was the result of careful self-reflection, goal setting, and self-confidence. And now, whenever I struggle with my self-confidence before races, I can think back on that day and know that believing in myself will help me keep pushing.

Call for Comments

  • Can you think of a time where confidence helped you perform at your best?
  • And how about a time where you had either too little or too much confidence in a race? What happened then?


  1. Weinberg, Robert S., et al. “Effect of public and private efficacy expectations on competitive performance.” Journal of Sport Psychology, vol. 2, no. 4, 1980, pp. 340–349.
  2. Weinberg, R. S., & Gould, D. (2019). Foundations of sport and exercise psychology. Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics.

The author (right) on the 2014 Les Templiers podium with winner Benoit Cori (center) and second place Sylvain Court (left).

Alex Nichols

coaches at Colorado College as well as at Trails and Tarmac. He has a Master of Arts in Sport Coaching and a USATF Level 2 Endurance coaching certification. On the trails, Alex has finished second at the Western States 100 Mile and won the Pikes Peak Marathon, Mont Blanc 80km, and Run Rabbit Run 100 Mile. He's supported by SCOTT Running.

There are 6 comments

  1. Harry

    Great advice. Thanks for sharing this!
    If you’re interested in goal setting and habit building, please check out a product called GoalsOnTrack at It’s designed for helping high achievers to set and track goals by organizing everything you need to do inside a comprehensive goal planning system.

  2. Adam Leadbetter

    My confidence has been shot in the last 18 months with a series of recurring ankle injuries that we’ve not been able to diagnose the cause of.

    In that time I’ve been able to perform really well at one race, narrowly missing the podium, and had to survive another where I didn’t perform well at all. In both cases due to lack of training miles I was definitely under-confident on the start line.

    The London Marathon in 2016 I was definitely over-confident. I went out a pace that would have given me a minute PR and ended up crashing and burning down the second half to come home just outside a PB day.

    1. Alex Nichols

      Adam –

      Thanks a lot for sharing. I almost didn’t write this article because confidence is so unique to each person. Your experiences really demonstrate the importance of careful self-reflection. We know our bodies far better than anyone else and if we can get brutally honest with how we feel, we are better prepared to adjust our expectations. Sometimes we need to believe in ourselves more, and sometimes we can be our own worst enemies. It’s difficult for me to attempt to spout universal truths as a “coach” knowing that everyone is totally different.

      I hope your ankle improves and you can get back to the start line soon! Maybe just thinking about your experiences on both sides of the confidence spectrum can help you get back to a good place with your self-confidence.

  3. Benoit Richard

    Hello Alex, thanks for this article that I read carefully because it’s always important to me to learn from champions even if I’m so soooo far away from any of your performance. Basically I’m a proud member of the pack. Actually I’d like to share here about 2 races : Templiers 78K in 2015 and Ecotrail de Paris 80k in 2018. For both my goal was to cross the finish line in a good shape. This was my very first long trail race at Templiers and my 2nd Ecotrail 80k (I finished one in 2016). Between the 2 I finished only one, and this was not the one you can expect. I ran Les Templiers without knowing much about long-distance trail running. I finished it only because I knew more or less how many uphills were to come. As you did, I had a plan. Well not really, it was more a map ! At the Ecotrail I had crossed several finish lines of some long-distance trail races that were harder than this 80k and I already raced it 2 years before. The day before there was this sense of over-confidence in me and I didn’t like that a lot, I felt weird with annoying thoughts and mental images linked to some easy race. And it stayed until the start which is very special : anyone can put his feet on the white line beside the super-champions (mainly Frenchies so you need to come with your Team Colorado !). So the start is just crazy like a run with the bulls as anyone (really any…) can start the race in front of those who will win it. And of course at the same pace because it’s just so funny, isn’t it ? Well funny… for the first 3k. Then I was feeling heavy and heavier and even more. I dropped after 45k. Over-confidence, here you are. That was the most stupid start and I will never do it again.
    From these 2 experiences, I learnt 1 thing : I don’t really know myself even if I try to hear and look at myself in my running activity. So who could help me in understanding myself and put me on tracks for progressing ? At this point I feel that the external view from a coach is crucial. Getting advice from someone who try to understand you with his own rationals and running experience. I was missing this until someone was so generous to send me some guidance in training (many thanks Juju !). Did you or are you getting advice from someone else to help you achieve your targets ?
    Also Alex, another question for you : could you explain us how confident you were before you started the Marathon du Mont-Blanc in 2015 (highlight race in skyrunning world series) and then right after when you were the first to cross the finish line 30min before so many elite champions ?
    Wishing you good times in 2020 even without competitions, I’m sure you’ll enjoy soms offs !
    Benoit from Paris (the one who sent you and Peter and Jared some local delights before your Templiers 2017 :-))

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