2021 Western States 100 Prediction Contest Results

Results from iRunFar’s 2021 Western States 100 prediction contest.

By on July 9, 2021 | 4 comments

Drymax - Official Sock WS100Here are the results of our 2021 Western States 100 Prediction Contest. This year’s prediction contest had over 1,200 entrants!

The Winners

Thank you again to Drymax, Hoka One One, BuffMaggie Tides Design, and Squirrel’s Nut Butter for providing the great prizes for the contest. Without them, the only thing to come out of the contest would be bragging rights. On to the winners!

Hoka logo - 2021First Place: Suneel Apte (11 points) is this year’s grand-prize winner with a mere 2 points on the women’s side along with 9 on the men’s side. On the women’s side, he correctly picked Beth Pascall to win, Brittany Peterson to take fourth, Emily Hawgood to place seventh, and Camelia Mayfield to be eighth. His only perfect pick on the men’s side was Jim Walmsley to win.

Suneel Apte - 2021 WS100 picks

Suneel’s picks.

Ok, I’ll pause here as six different entrants nominally tied for second with 11 points. Congrats to Joshua Bergseng, Tom Boland, Nicole Buurma, Melissa Davis, Marissa Harris, and Erik Sandstrom! Of those, four were still tied after the first tie breaker–accuracy of masters picks–with only Melissa Davis and Nicole Buurma dropping out of the running.

BUFF logoNow, on to the second tie break! Tom Boland (252 second tie breaker points) takes fifth as he correctly picked Beth Pascall to win, but his pick for men’s winner, Jared Hazen, dropped out. In fourth, it’s Marissa Harris (16 second TB points), who correctly picked Jim Walmsley to win, but picked up 16 points in choosing Clare Gallagher to win. Erik Sandstrom (3 second TB points) is third in picking Walmsley to win and was just three places off in picking Brittany Peterson to win. And, in second, on the basis of correctly picking both Pascall and Walmsley to win, it’s Joshua Bergseng! In case you missed it, all four of the entrants tied for second after the first tie breaker had at least one winner picked correctly. Well done, all!

Second Place: Joshua Bergseng (12 points) was spot on for three picks in the women’s race with Pascall in first, Debats in third, and Audrey Tanguy in sixth, along with getting winner Walmsley and Hayden Hawks in eighth correct. He had quite an even split between the men’s and women’s at 7 and 5 points, respectively. As noted above, it’s Bergseng’s correct picks of both overall winners that granted him sole possession of second place.

Joshua Bergseng - 2021 WS100 picks

Joshua’s picks.

Third Place: Erik Sandstrom (12 points) made hay on the men’s race, correctly picking Walmsley, Kyle Pietari, and Stephen Kersh to finish first, sixth, and seventh, while only being one spot off for Tim Tollefson (fourth instead of fifth) and two off for Alex Nichols (eighth instead of 10th) to come in with the lowest men’s point total of the 1,200-plus entrants. Camelia Mayfield in eighth was Sandstrom’s sole perfect pick in the women’s race.

Erik Sandstrom - 2021 WS100 picks

Erik’s picks.

Henry McBride is our random grand-prize winner for which he gets the same loaded prize pack as Suneel minus the art.

Maggie Tides Design - full triptych canvas - Western States 100 course

Maggie Tides Design Western States 100 Triptych.

Squirrel's Nut Butter - logo
Men’s Predictions

This year, there was a two-way tie for the top performance in the men’s open category with Erik Sandstrom and Nicole Buurma with 3 total points. We’ve laid out Erik’s picks for this performance above, but here’s what Nicole did. She correctly picked Walmsley and Tyler Green to go one-two and Kersh to finish seventh. She then tallied 1 point for picking Tollefson to finish fourth instead of fifth and 2 points for picking Drew Holmen to finish fifth instead of third.

Women’s Predictions

Beating out a handful of others by 1 point with only 1 point for the women was David Hedges, who correctly picked the trifecta of Pascall, Croft, Debats to win, place, and show, as well as Katie Asmuth to place fifth. His only accrued point was for picking Keely Henninger to take eighth, one place off her ninth-place finish.

Final Words
Thanks to the more than 1,200 individuals who fully took part in the contest! We had a lot of fun bringing it to you and hope you had a lot of fun participating.

The Overall Contest Field
Here’s a breakdown of the number of folks tallying 50 or fewer points other the past seven years: 2009 – 46, 2010 – 107, 2011 – 274, 2012 – 446, 2013 – 694, 2014 – 683, 2015 – 807, 2016 – 509, 2017 – 208, 2018 – 1,476, 2019 – 999, 2021 – 646.

Below are the full results:

[Editor’s Note: A note to email subscribers only: If you can’t see these results, you need to click on the article title in your email to view the article in a web browser.]

Bryon Powell

Bryon Powell is the Editor-in-Chief of iRunFar. He’s been writing about trail running, ultrarunning, and running gear for 15 years. Aside from iRunFar, he’s authored the books Relentless Forward Progress: A Guide to Running Ultramarathons and Where the Road Ends: A Guide to Trail Running, been a contributing editor at Trail Runner magazine, written for publications including Outside, Sierra, and Running Times, and coached ultrarunners of all abilities. Based in Silverton, Colorado, Bryon is an avid trail runner and ultrarunner who competes in events from the Hardrock 100 Mile just out his front door to races long and short around the world, that is, when he’s not fly fishing or tending to his garden.