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2019 Western States 100 Prediction Contest Results

Here are the results of our 2019 Western States 100 Prediction Contest. This year we had our second-highest-ever number of prediction-contest entrants at over 1,350.

The Winners

Thank you again to Drymax, Hoka One One, Buff, Julbo, Altra, Maggie Tides Design, GU, and Squirrel’s Nut Butter for providing the great prizes for the contest. Without them, the only thing to come out of the contest would be bragging rights. On to the winners!

  1. Jerico Leandro Cortado (10 points) is this year’s grand-prize winner with his score evenly split between women and men. On the women’s side, he correctly predicted Kaytlyn Gerbin in sixth, Nicole Bitter in seventh, and Kathryn Drew in eighth. Jerico had two exact picks on the men’s side: Jim Walmsley for the win and Tom Evans in third.

Jerico’s picks.

  1. David Bresnahan (11 points) took second place by way of the third tiebreaker, a coin flip! Aside from the same picks for the men’s and women’s winners as third-place Jeremy Lakebrink, both had the same gender point breakdown: 3 for the men and 8 for the women. David was spot on in picking Kaci Lickteig as third woman, Jim Walmsley to win for the men, and Matt Daniels to be fourth man.

David’s picks.

  1. Jeremy Lakebrink (11 points) took third on the third tiebreak. David’s strength was on the men’s side where he had a superfecta: picking Jim Walmsley, Jared Hazen, Tom Evans, and Matt Daniels to finish first through fourth in exact order! While David didn’t have a single exact pick correct on the women’s side, each of his five scoring women’s picks were within two spots of the runner’s actual finish.

Jeremy’s picks.

Matthew Hoadley is our random grand-prize winner for which he gets the same loaded prize pack as Jerico minus the art.

Maggie Tides Western States print. (prize will be a paper print, rather than canvas)


Men’s Predictions
Billy Walsh
and Alex Nichols both had perfect scores on the men’s side. Billy picked the trifecta with Walmsley, Hazen, and Evans on the podium and then Mark Hammond in fifth and Patrick Reagan in eighth. And, get this, Alex had the same five runners spot on! While not counting in the official scoring, Alex edged out Billy for the 8-man total of 30 to 33. Both picked David Laney for fourth, but Alex had Kyle Pietari in sixth and Jeff Browning for seventh as opposed to Billy’s Chris Mocko and Matt Daniels in sixth and seventh.

Women’s Predictions
The overall winner Jerico Leandro Cortado tied Henning Karlsson and David Shoup for the best score on the women’s side with five points.

Final Words
Thanks to the more than 1,300 individuals who fully took part in the contest! We had a lot of fun bringing it to you and hope you had a lot of fun participating.

Sorry for the long delay in publishing these results. The contest’s decade’s old code needed to be updated this year and while the basic results functions were available shortly after the race, there was a small but persistent error in tallying the men’s point totals for some entrants. We were finally able to find and squash that bug last night. Thanks for your patience and understanding.

The Overall Contest Field
Here’s a breakdown of the number of folks tallying 50 or fewer points other the past seven years: 2009 – 46, 2010 – 107, 2011 – 274, 2012 – 446, 2013 – 694, 2014 – 683, 2015 – 807, 2016 – 509, 2017 – 208, 2018 – 1,476, 2019 – 999.

Below are the full results:

[A note to email subscribers only: If you can’t see these results, you need to click on the article title in your email to view the article in a web browser.]
Categories: Contests
Bryon Powell: is the Editor-in-Chief of iRunFar.com, which he founded more than 10 years ago. Having spent more than 15 years as an ultrarunner and 25 years as a trail runner, he's also written <a href="https://www.irunfar.com/rfp">Relentless Forward Progress: A Guide to Running Ultramarathons</a> and co-wrote <a href="https://www.irunfar.com/where-the-road-ends-a-guide-to-trail-running">Where the Road Ends: A Guide to Trail Running</a>. These days he calls Moab, Utah and its trails home<a href="https://plus.google.com/110912864360970371436?rel=author">.</a>

View Comments (7)

  • heh, good job

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  • Waiting patiently for the email on how to claim the prizes.

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  • So, with his score 14+6, Tyler Green is the winner of a combined WS100 running + prediction contest.

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  • I won the grand prize. Thank god as my predictions were way off.

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  • Hi Bryon!!! First off, yahoooo!!! Won a bounty! I haven't received any email though on how to go about the prizes. If need be, here's my email: jlcortado_01@yahoo.com.

    I'm from the Philippines but I can provide a US-address of my relatives for the shipping. Super excited to spread the good news! All those prizes will be used for my future races!!!! Thank you so much!!!

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  • Ugh. 4th place is a hard pill to swallow. Thanks so much for another fun contest. I look forward to this every year. Next year I plan on making the podium.

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    • What’s hard to swallow is that I scored 3 points on the men’s side but ended up tied for 700th. I’ve gotta get up to speed on the ladies’ field!

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